Showing posts with label china. Show all posts
Showing posts with label china. Show all posts

Thursday, February 20, 2014

Chinese and Japanese Tensions will rise in South China Sea

Over the last month and a half, seven significant developments indicate that tensions in the South China Sea are set to rise in both the short and long term. The five short-term trends include: Philippine defiance of China’s fishing ban; continued inaction by the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN); the Chinese navy’s repeated assertions of sovereignty over James Shoal; the possibility of an Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) over the South China Sea; and stronger United States opposition to China’s ADIZ and maritime territorial claims.

First, in January, the Philippines stepped up its public defiance of China and its territorial ...Continue >>> 

Monday, May 18, 2009

Brazil and China eye plan to axe dollar

By Jonathan Wheatley in São Paulo

Published: May 18 2009 18:24 | Last updated: May 18 2009 23:31

Brazil and China will work towards using their own currencies in trade transactions rather than the US dollar, according to Brazil’s central bank and aides to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Brazil’s president.

The move follows recent Chinese challenges to the status of the dollar as the world’s leading international currency.

Mr Lula da Silva, who is visiting Beijing this week, and Hu Jintao, China’s president, first discussed the idea of replacing the dollar with the renminbi and the real as trade currencies when they met at the G20 summit in London last month.

An official at Brazil’s central bank stressed that talks were at an early stage. He also said that what was under discussion was not a currency swap of the kind China recently agreed with Argentina and which the US had agreed with several countries, including Brazil.

“Currency swaps are not necessarily trade related,” the official said. “The funds can be drawn down for any use. What we are talking about now is Brazil paying for Chinese goods with reals and China paying for Brazilian goods with renminbi.”

Henrique Meirelles and Zhou Xiaochuan, governors of the two countries’ central banks, were expected to meet soon to discuss the matter, the official said.

Brazil: Exports to ChinaMr Zhou recently proposed replacing the US dollar as the world’s leading currency with a new international reserve currency, possibly in the form of special drawing rights (SDRs), a unit of account used by the International Monetary Fund.

In an essay posted on the People’s Bank of China’s website, Mr Zhou said the goal would be to create a reserve currency “that is disconnected from individual nations”.

In September, Brazil and Argentina signed an agreement under which importers and exporters in the two countries may make and receive payments in pesos and reals, although they may also continue to use the US dollar if they prefer.

An aide to Mr Lula da Silva on his visit to Beijing said the political will to enact a similar deal with China was clearly present. “Something that would have been unthinkable 10 years ago is a real possibility today,” he said. “Strong currencies like the real and the renminbi are perfectly capable of being used as trade currencies, as is the case between Brazil and Argentina.”

In what was interpreted as a sign of Chinese concern about the future of the dollar, the governor of China’s central bank proposed in March that the US dollar be replaced as the world’s de-facto reserve currency.

In an essay posted on the People’s Bank of China’s website, Zhou Xiaochuan, the central bank’s governor, said the goal would be to create a reserve currency ”that is disconnected from individual nations” and modelled on the International Monetary Fund’s special drawing rights, or SDRs.

Economists have argued that while the SDR plan is unfeasible now, bilateral deals between Beijing and its trading partners could act as pieces in a jigsaw designed to promote wider international use of the ­renminbi.

Any move to make the renminbi more acceptable for international trade, or to help establish it as a regional reserve currency in Asia, could enhance China’s political clout around the world.

Sunday, April 19, 2009

Financial Crises Update 04-19-09

 - President Obama says US economy remains under strain.
Paul Volcker, Obama's economic adviser, says U.S. recovery will
be a "long slog" but rate of decline "is going to slow"
 - China's economy bottoming out - government researcher
 - Worst of British recession is over, to return to modest
growth in second half of 2010 - Confederation of British
Industry
 - ECB Trichet says bank has further room for benchmark rate
cut but cut is likely to be a measured 25 basis points - Nikkei
 - Fed will not allow unorthodox policies to lead to
inflation surge, but may need to do more to ease credit, Fed's
No. 2 says
 - Euro zone econ should start recovering in 2010 after
tough 2009, Trichet
 - U.S. housing sales near a bottom, a third of sales now of
foreclosed properties, Freddie Mac chief economist says
                 MARKETS
 - U.S. stocks rise, capping S&P 500's longest weekly
winning streak since 2007. Dow up 0.1 pct. Nikkei .N225 falls
1 pct as yen weighs
 - Euro strikes one-month low against dollar due to ECB
uncertainty
 - Oil falls $1 towards $49, weighed down by rising dollar
and growing investor caution on global economy, gold little
changed
                 QUOTES
  "The situation in financial markets and the economy would
have been far worse if the Federal Reserve hadn't taken the
actions we did." - Donald Kohn, vice chairman of the Federal
Reserve.
 "We are experiencing a period which is difficult and the
year 2009 is obviously difficult for all economies in the world
without any exception, but it is also true that we have all
good reasons to consider that the recovery will take place in
the course of 2010." - European Central Bank President
Jean-Claude Trichet.
 "None of us has seen a decline in economic activity at the
rate of speed seen late last year." - Paul Volcker, senior
economic adviser to President Barack Obama.
 "While consumers believe the economy may have hit bottom,
most consumers believe that when the rebound starts the economy
will gain ground very slowly." - Richard Curtin, director of
the Reuters/University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
                  DIARY
            (all times GMT)
 Monday, April 20
 0600 - Japan Finmin Yosano, BOJ governor Shirakawa speak at
the annual meeting of Japanese trust banks.
 1230 - Chicago Fed National Activity Index for March
 1400 - Chicago Fed president evans welcomes Fed chairman
Bernanke
 1400 - U.S. leading indicators for March
 Newark, Delaware - Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Donald
Kohn discusses "the Economic Outlook" at the University of
Delaware's annual Hutchinson Lecture in macroeconomics at 2330.
 (Compiled by World Desk, Singapore, +65 6870 3815)